Modelos ARIMA para la temperatura media anual en seis ciudades españolas

S. Pérez Boada, J. Gallego-Díaz Fajardo, F. Elías Castillo


Se ha realizado el análisis univariable de las series de temperatura media anual de seis ciudades españolas, utilizando los modelos ARIMA de Box-Jenkins. La serie de Badajoz fue un AR(2) y la de Barcelona un AR(1). Las cuatro restantes, Madrid, La Coruña, San Fernando (Cádiz) y Valencia, resultaron ser un ARIMA (O, 1, l). Para todas ellas, se ha obtenido la predicción para el año 1989

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