Posible modulación de las circulaciones anticiclónicas por las variaciones de la actividad solar

Alejandro Lomas González, Ricardo Torrijo Murciano

Resumen


Se investigan los cambios de las circulaciones anticiclónicas subtropicales inducidos  por la varíación solar en las zonas oceánicas. Utilizando el reanálisis NCEP/NCAR se examinan esos cambios indagando en la hipotética acción de la radiación solar de UV que incide e influencia la estratosfera y la alta troposfera. Establecida la hipótesis de que la mayor o menor actividad solar modifica el perfil de temperatura vertical y por ello la estabilidad estática se busca un predictor que pueda anticipar la mayor o menor actividad de las células anticiclónicas.

Texto completo:

PDF

Referencias


Clement, A.C., R. Seager, M.A. Cane, S.E. Zebiak, 1996: An Ocean Dynamical Thermostat. J. Climate, 9, 2190–2196.

CLIMAP Project Members, 1981: Seasonal reconstruction of the earths surface at the last glacial maximum. Geological Society of America, Map and Chart Series, 36, 18 pp.

Eddy J.A., 1976: The Maunder Minimum. Science. 192 (4245): 1189–1202,.

Ermolli, I., K. Matthes, T. Dudok de Wit, N. A. Krivova, K. Tourpali, M. Weber, Y. C. Unruh, L. Gray, U. Langematz, P. Pilewskie, E. Rozanov, W. Schmutz, A. Shapiro, S. K. Solanki, T. N. Woods, 2013: Recent variability of the solar spectral irradiance and its impact on climate modelling, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 3945-3977.

Frame, T.H. and L.J. Gray, 2010: The 11-Yr Solar Cycle in ERA-40 Data: An Update to 2008. J. Climate, 23, 2213–2222.

Gabriel A. V., and B.J. Soden. 2007: Global Warming and the Weakening of the Tropical Circulation. Journal of Climate 20(17): 4316-4340.

Gergis, J. , K. Braganza, A. Fowler, S. Mooney and J. Risbey, 2006: Reconstructing El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) fron high resolution paleoarchives. J. Quaternary Sci., 21: 707-722.

Gray, L. J., J. Beer, M. Geller, J. D. Haigh, M. Lockwood, K . Matthes, U. Cubasch, D. Fleitmann, G. Harrison, L. Hood, J. Luterbacher, G. A. Meehl, D. Shindell, B. van Geel and W. White, 2010: Solar influences on climate, Rev. Geophys, 48, RG4001.

Haigh, J.D., 1994: The role of stratospheric ozone in modulating the solar radiative forcing of climate. Nature, volume 370, pages 544–546 (18 August 1994).

Haigh, J.D., 1996: The Impact of Solar Variability on Climate. Science 17 May 1996: Vol. 272, Issue 5264, pp. 981-984.

Haigh, J.D., M. Blackburn, and R. Day, 2005: The Response of Tropospheric Circulation to Perturbations in Lower-Stratospheric Temperature. J. Climate, 18, 3672–3685.

Haigh, J. D., Winning, A., Toumi, R. and J.W. Harder, 2010: An influence of solar spectral variations on radiative forcing of climate. Nature 467.

Harder, J. W., Fontenla, J. M., Pilewskie, P., Richard, E. C. and T.N. Woods, 2009: Trends in solar spectral irradiance variability in the visible and infrared. Geophys. Res. Lett. 36, L07801.

Kalnay et al (1996).,The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 437-470.

Kiyotaha Shibata K., K. Kodera, 2005: Simulation of radiative and dynamical responses of the middle atmosphere to the 11-year solar cycle. Journal of atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics. Vol.67. Issues 1-2, January 2005. Pages 125-143.

Klein, S.A. and D.L. Hartmann, 1993: The Seasonal Cycle of Low Stratiform Clouds. J. Climate, 6, 1587–1606.

Lamb, H.H., 1985 (c1977), Climate History and the future. Princeton University Press, 835pp.

Rottman, Gary J., Thomas N. Woods, and William McClintock (2006): SORCE Solar UV Irradiance Results, Adv. Space Res., 37, 2, 201-208, 35th Committee on Space Research (COSPAR) Proceedings, Paris, France, July 18-25, 2004.

Solanki S.K. and N.A. Krivova, 2004: Solar Irradiance Variations: From Current Measurements to Long-Term Estimates. Solar Physics (2004) 224, 197–208.

Schmidt, G.A., J.H. Jungclaus, C.M. Ammann, E. Bard, P. Braconnot, T.J. Crowley, G. Delaygue, F. Joos,. N.A. Krivova, R. Muscheler, B.L. Otto-Bliesner, J. Pongratz, D.T. Shindell, S.K. Solanki, F. Steinhilber, and L.E.A. Vieira, 2012: Climate forcing reconstructions for use in PMIP simulations of the Last Millennium (v1.1). Geoscientif. Model Dev., 5, 185–191.

Shindell, D., G. Faluvegi, A. Lacis, J. Hansen, R. Ruedy, and E. Aguilar, 2006: Role of tropospheric ozone increases in 20th century climate change. J. Geophys. Res., 111, D08302.

S.A. Klein and D. L. Hartmann,1993: The Seasonal Cycle of Low Stratiform Clouds. Journal of Climate 6(8), 1587-1606.

Trenberth, K.E., P.D. Jones, P. Ambenje, R. Bojariu, D. Easterling, A. Klein Tank, D. Parker, F. Rahimzadeh, J.A. Renwick, M. Rusticucci,. B. Soden and P. Zhai, 2007: Observations: Surface and atmospheric climate change. Chapter 3 in S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.), 2007, Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.




DOI: https://doi.org/10.30859/ameJrCn35p410

Enlaces refback

  • No hay ningún enlace refback.


ISSN: 2605-2202 - © Asociación Meteorológica Española